Cogito Patris

Random Thoughts for Random People

Why You Don’t Want me to be President of the United States

In a word, Taxes.

That’s right, the dreaded “T” word.  Although not four letters most people consider it profane.  Personally, I don’t think we pay enough in taxes.

Now I agree that we pay a lot in taxes.  My tax bracket has almost ensured that my kids can’t go to college.  But I don’t think we are spending our taxes where they need to be spent.

Reason 1

I do have one tax that is just for tax purposes.  A Modified Gas tax.  In 2008 the taxes should increase the price of gas by 50 cents.  In 2009, it should increase by an additional 75 cents.  Then continue to balloon to an impossible number.  Then it should recede.

  • Year: Tax Increase – Gas Price based on $3.00/gal market price
  • 2008: +$00.50 – $3.50
  • 2009: +$00.75 – $4.25
  • 2010: +$01.25 – $5.50
  • 2011: +$01.50 – $7.00
  • 2012: +$01.50 – $8.50
  • 2013: +$01.50 – $10.00
  • 2014: +$01.50 – $11.50
  • 2015: +$01.50 – $13.00
  • 2016: +$01.50 – $14.50
  • 2017: +$01.50 – $16.00
  • 2018: +$01.50 – $17.50
  • 2019: -$02.50 – $15.00
  • 2020: -$03.00 – $12.00
  • 2021: -$04.00 – $8.00
  • 2022: -$05.00 – $3.00

I assume you would like to know why I want the gas prices to increase to an impossible level. The answer is a cost benefit analysis.

My Durango gets about 14 Mi/gal.

The Hybrid (Toyota Camry) that I want to purchase gets about 40 Mi/gal

If I drive 12,000 miles/year.  In the Durango I consume about 860 gallons of gas/year.  In the Camry I would consume 300 gallons.  That is significant in reducing our dependence on foreign oil and in reducing pollutants.  But, at current gas prices of $3.00/gal (actually it is about $2.75) the cost of that gas is $2,580 in the Durango and only $900 in the Camry for a savings of $1,680 per year.

The Camry costs about $25,000 for the base model.  So the payoff period is a little less than 15 years.  To say the least, I am not going to have the car for that long (in all likelihood), so it doesn’t make financial sense to buy a new car just for the fuel savings.

Now, let’s apply my ballooning gas prices model.

  • Year – Fuel Cost (From Above) – Durango Fuel Costs – Camry Fuel Costs – Savings For the Year – Total Savings
  • 2008 – $3.50 – $3,010.00 – $1,050.00 – $1,960.00 – $1,960.00
  • 2009 – $4.25 – $3,655.00 – $1,275.00 – $2,380.00 – $4,340.00
  • 2010 – $5.50 – $4,730.00 – $1,650.00 – $3,080.00 – $7,420.00
  • 2011 – $7.00 – $6,020.00 – $2,100.00 – $3,920.00 – $11,340.00
  • 2012 – $8.50 – $7,310.00 – $2,550.00 – $4,760.00 – $16,100.00
  • 2013 – $10.00 – $8,600.00 – $3,000.00 – $5,600.00 – $21,700.00
  • 2014 – $11.50 – $9,890.00 – $3,450.00 – $6,440.00 – $28,140.00
  • 2015 – $13.00 – $11,180.00 – $3,900.00 – $7,280.00 – $35,420.00
  • 2016 – $14.50 – $12,470.00 – $4,350.00 – $8,120.00 – $43,540.00
  • 2017 – $16.00 – $13,760.00 – $4,800.00 – $8,960.00 – $52,500.00
  • 2018 – $17.50 – $15,050.00 – $5,250.00 – $9,800.00 – $62,300.00
  • 2019 – $15.00 – $12,900.00 – $4,500.00 – $8,400.00 – $70,700.00
  • 2020 – $12.00 – $10,320.00 – $3,600.00 – $6,720.00 – $77,420.00
  • 2021 – $8.00 – $6,880.00 – $2,400.00 – $4,480.00 – $81,900.00
  • 2022 – $3.00 – $2,580.00 – $900.00 – $1,680.00 – $83,580.00

That is a payoff of less than 6 years.  That is much more reasonable.  And yes, I could probably cut my ballooning tax to extend only six or seven years.  The cost benefit should push most people to replace their vehicles with more economic models.  But all of this is predicated on knowing that the gas prices are going up.  That will get Americans out of our SUVs and in to more fuel efficient vehicles.  Optimists now can assume gas prices won’t go up and reinvest in another gas guzzler.  But if they know the gas prices are going up, they will take that in to consideration.  That is how the small cars dominated the market in the early 80s.  And probably more important, it would get the auto industry looking in to alternate fuels.  The market would force them to become more energy conscious.  There would be no need for CAFE regulations (which are near meaningless anyway).

Reason 2

Another reason that I shouldn’t be president is that, although I am a pacifist, I believe in military spending. Most of the technological advances made over the past 70 years have been as a result of Military spending.  The two biggest being the advent of portable personal communication devices (cell phones) and the Internet which was originally created to aid in communications between military computer systems.

Where would we be without cell phones and the Internet?

Reason 3

I think that a universal health system is long overdue.  I pay a lot for one of my depression treatments because it is not covered by my insurance.  Nobody should have to worry about how they will pay for medical treatment.  That would also greatly reduce the amount of money that the Social Security system would need.  Seniors wouldn’t have to worry about going without needed medications because they couldn’t afford them.

Reason 4

I think so-called “Higher” education should be provided free-of-charge.  As a society we already foot the bill for elementary through high school.  The idea being that if we make our kids smarter then our society becomes a better place to live.  I agree with this whole-heartedly.  Obviously the education system needs work.  the Standards of Learning that have been implemented to make sure that no child is left behind have been good for the kids that may have been lost in the system.  But it has hindered the development of the exceptional students.  Unfortunately I don’t have a solution to this problem.  I myself would have been considered an average student, because I didn’t really hit my stride until my Junior year of High School.  If we put in measures that find gifted students in elementary school, then those of us with a learning impairment might be overlooked.  But as it is now, gifted students are simply being ignored.  They are the good kids, so teachers don’t worry about them.  In many ways, that is a much worse circumstance.

Reason 5

And finally, I’m just too shy to speak in front of that many people. 🙂

All of these stratagems would cost money.  The government can’t run a deficit forever (technically they can, but they would risk another recession).  But America doesn’t have the highest standard of living.  I am recalling from a radio program many moons ago, so forgive me if I get some details wrong.  But I recall America being fifth.  The top four were all socialist countries.  Countries that already have many of the programs that I mentioned above.  So, what is taking us so long?

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September 25, 2007 - Posted by | Thoughts on Politics

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